What’s next?

Spotlight: Ten questions for 2020

It’s that time of year for us to look at the trends expected to take center stage in Latin America in 2020, offer some predictions, and invite you to participate and share your views. Join us in taking this informal poll! Let us know how you foresee the major trends breaking, and see if you can get the 10/10 high score in predicting our forecasts.

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Latest from the region

Bolivia in transition: Read Jason Marczak’s latest analysis

After allegations of election fraud, former President of Bolivia Evo Morales fled to Mexico seeking asylum, and the opposition senator Jeanine Áñez assumed the vacated office as interim president. The Bolivian people and wider region remain divided about whether the election was legitimate, and if they should now recognize Áñez as president.

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The Atlantic Council’s Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center expands awareness of the new Latin America across diverse communities of influence by positioning the region as a core partner in the transatlantic community.

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Content

Fri, Jan 24, 2020

Infographic: Maduro’s Venezuela

Infographic by Atlantic Council

Venezuela

Thu, Jan 23, 2020

A year in, the United States still stands behind Venezuela’s interim government

As the interim government of Venezuela continues to fight for freedom and democracy against the regime of Nicolás Maduro, the United States is “unwavering in [its] commitment” to helping Interim President Juan Guaidó and the National Assembly, US Agency for International Development (USAID) Administrator Mark Green said on January 23.

New Atlanticist by David A. Wemer

Democratic Transitions Human Rights
AlertaVenezuela email banner

Tue, Jan 21, 2020

#AlertaVenezuela: January 21, 2020

On January 11, Juan Guaidó, president of the National Assembly who is recognized by more than 50 countries as interim president of Venezuela, announced his intention to appoint a presidential commission to oversee the restructuring of the Maduro regime-backed broadcaster Telesur. The announcement started the debate about the future of the media outlet. The regime mounted a significant response on social and traditional media, including on Telesur itself.

#AlertaVenezuela by Atlantic Council's DFRLab

Disinformation Venezuela

Tue, Jan 21, 2020

PeaceGame Venezuela: Pathways to Peace

A year after Juan Guaidó took the presidential oath, nearly sixty countries now recognize the interim government as the legitimate representative of the Venezuelan people. Still, the Maduro regime remains in power, further threatening the country and the world every day. As Venezuela becomes increasingly engulfed in internal strife, the international community must prepare for the most dire scenarios. What would be the reverberations of complete state collapse? How might various stakeholders— from Venezuelan actors to regional neighbors to Russia or armed groups—respond?

In-Depth Research & Reports by Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center

Crisis Management Democratic Transitions

Wed, Jan 15, 2020

Stemming Maduro’s Illicit Activities: What’s Next After the Jan. 5 Elections?

Beyond hyperinflation and human rights abuses, the Maduro regime has diversified its criminal portfolio and profited from a host of illicit activities, from drug smuggling to illegal mining.

Event Recap by Pablo Reynoso

Corruption Crisis Management
AlertaVenezuela email banner

Tue, Jan 14, 2020

#AlertaVenezuela: January 14, 2020

Twitter suspended dozens of accounts connected to the Maduro regime on January 7, 2020, including the official accounts of the Ministerio del Poder Popular de Petróleo (the Ministry of People’s Power for Petroleum), the Minister of the Interior, the Central Bank of Venezuela, and the Bolivarian Army of Venezuela.

#AlertaVenezuela by Atlantic Council's DFRLab

Disinformation Venezuela

Mon, Jan 13, 2020

Spotlight: Alejandro Giammattei’s first 100 days

Guatemala will begin a new chapter with the presidential inauguration of Alejandro Giammattei Falla. At the center of the incoming pro-business administration: ushering in a new era of economic growth and job creation. With 59 percent of Guatemalans living in poverty, Central America’s largest and most populous country is also one the poorest and most unequal nations in Latin America.

Issue Brief by María Fernanda Pérez Argüello and Domingo Sadurní

Latin America Migration

Mon, Jan 13, 2020

Trump’s bilateral trade deals are undermining the global trading system

Overall, the three early 2020 agreements have started to transform the multilateral rule-based system into a largely bilaterally managed, outcome-based system. RTAs and their new practices accelerate the fragmentation of the world trading system into numerous trading zones with different overlapping memberships and trade coverage, tariffs, quotas, and quantitative trade targets, plus other rules such as local content and country of origin requirements as well as dispute settlement processes.

New Atlanticist by Hung Tran

China European Union

Mon, Jan 13, 2020

China’s support for the Maduro regime: Enduring or fleeting?

As Venezuela’s biggest creditor, China is carrying the burden of Venezuela’s economic collapse. The PRC has become increasingly aware of this unsustainable situation, and, behind closed doors, has been in communications with the interim government. Back in February, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang said that China is open to working with a different government to ensure payment for the loans-for-oil deals. Strictly speaking, China’s relationship with the South American country is transactional, not ideological.

New Atlanticist by Cristina Guevara

China International Markets

Wed, Jan 8, 2020

After Maduro’s latest ploy, what’s next for the Venezuelan opposition?

"The images of Juan Guaidó and other democratically-elected members of the National Assembly being physically barred from entering the assembly building was visible proof of how far Nicolás Maduro is willing to go to deny any semblance of democracy in Venezuela," Jason Marczak says.

New Atlanticist by Jasper Gilardi

Civil Society Corruption