Thu, Dec 12, 2019

Managed competition: Meeting China’s challenge in a multi-vector world

Understanding and responding to the challenges China presents requires a broad perspective, recognizing the interaction of economic, diplomatic, and security issues.

Report by Franklin D. Kramer

China Europe & Eurasia

Wed, Dec 11, 2019

Aviation cybersecurity: Scoping the challenge

The digital attack surface the aviation sector presents to its adversaries continues to grow in such a way that both managing risk and gaining insight on it remain difficult. With emerging technologies like machine learning and fifth-generation (5G) telecommunications seeing wider adoption—alongside electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL), autonomous aircraft, and increased use of space—aviation-cybersecurity risk management is on the cusp of becoming more complex. Aviation Cybersecurity: Scoping the Challenge, by Pete Cooper with Simon Handler and Safa Shahwan, leverages a global survey together with targeted interviews and expert workshops to explore the diverse challenges of aviation cybersecurity.

Report by Pete Cooper, Simon Handler, Safa Shahwan

Cybersecurity Internet of Things
Candle in the Dark Destruction Cole

Tue, Dec 10, 2019

A candle in the dark: US national security strategy for artificial intelligence

AI is expected to have a transformational impact on the future of geopolitics, defense, and security. The emerging geopolitical and security context influencing the future of AI technology development has been driven by the erosion of traditional geopolitical frameworks, increased conflict between liberalism and authoritarianism, the pervasiveness of social media use and 4IR-driven digitization of […]

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series by Tate Nurkin; Stephen Rodriguez

China Conflict

Tue, Dec 3, 2019

Strategic estrangement between South Korea and Japan as a barrier to trilateral cooperation

Demand for trilateral cooperation between the United States, South Korea, and Japan is on the rise. However, political willingness and capacity for trilateral cooperation are declining.

Report by Dr. Cheol Hee Park

Elections Indo-Pacific

Fri, Nov 22, 2019

What do we know about cyber escalation? Observations from simulations and surveys

Do cyber operations alter how states respond to international crises in a way that creates incentives for decision makers to cross the Rubicon and use military force to settle disputes? This question is central to current cyber strategy debates and the idea of persistent engagement and defending forward in cyberspace. The answer is surprising: no. Based on the evidence, cyber operations offer a valuable escalatory offramp.

Issue Brief by Benjamin Jensen and Brandon Valeriano

Cybersecurity

Thu, Nov 14, 2019

Over the horizon: NATO joint intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance in the Baltic Sea region

NATO joint intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance is about getting the right information to the right person at the right time in the right format.

Report by Task Force Co-Chairs: ADM Mark E. Ferguson, III, USN (Ret.) and AM Sir Christopher Harper, RAF (Ret.) Project Director: Dr. Richard D. Hooker, Jr.

Drones Intelligence

Tue, Nov 12, 2019

Thinking foreign policy in Russia: Think tanks and grand narratives

Russia’s post-Crimean foreign policy does not exist in a vacuum. Its ramifications are colliding with regional and global trends that are effectively destabilizing the post-Cold War international order.

Report by Anton Barbashin & Alexander Graef

Civil Society International Norms

Wed, Oct 30, 2019

Present at the re-creation: A global strategy for revitalizing, adapting, and defending a rules-based international system

We need a new strategy—one that is both ambitious and innovative, geared towards meeting the challenges and opportunities that the new decade brings.

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series by Ash Jain, Matthew Kroenig

China NATO

Wed, Oct 30, 2019

Global risks 2035 update: Decline or new renaissance?

Our conclusion in 2016’s Global Risks 2035 was that state-on-state conflict posed a bigger threat than terrorism. In the two years since, the post-Cold War order has continued to unravel without a “new normal” emerging.

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series by Mathew J. Burrows

China NATO

Mon, Oct 28, 2019

Prospects of the Russian protest movement

Amid a summer of protest and Vladimir Putin’s declining popularity, Ksenia Kirillova looks at the Russian protests victories, weaknesses, and next steps.

Issue Brief by Ksenia Kirillova

Elections Political Reform

Mon, Oct 28, 2019

Перспективы российского протестного движения

Итоги выборов в Москве подтвердили как рост протестных настроений среди населения, так и способность оппозиции мобилизовать и координировать свои действия.

Issue Brief by Ксения Кириллова

Elections Political Reform
Manufacturing facility

Tue, Oct 22, 2019

The Saudi Aramco-SABIC merger: How acquiring SABIC fits into Aramco’s long-term diversification strategy

Table of Contents SABIC Aramco’s strategy: Transparency Aramco’s strategy: Diversification The Aramco-SABIC merger: Common ground, synergies, and lack thereof Unforeseen consequences of the Aramco-SABIC merger Financial review SABIC-Saudi Aramco post-acquisition structure Merger and bureaucratic battles Conclusion In August 2018, Saudi Aramco1This paper will use “Saudi Aramco” and “Aramco” in reference to the same company, whose […]

Issue Brief by Jean-François Seznec

Energy Markets & Governance Energy Transitions

Tue, Oct 22, 2019

More in the Med: Come La NATO Può Rifocalizzare Il Suo Impegno Sul Fronte Meridionale E L’italia Guidare Il Processo

Though NATO has made considerable progress in deterring an aggressive Russia to the east, it falls short in its “southern strategy.” Ambassador Alexander Vershbow and Lauren Speranza suggest three major courses of action to develop NATO’s strategy towards its southern flank.

Report by Ambassador Alexander Vershbow and Lauren Speranza

Defense Policy Europe & Eurasia

Tue, Oct 22, 2019

More in the Med: How NATO Can Refocus its Efforts in the South and Italy Can Lead the Charge

Though NATO has made considerable progress in deterring an aggressive Russia to the east, it falls short in its “southern strategy.” Ambassador Alexander Vershbow and Lauren Speranza suggest three major courses of action to develop NATO’s strategy towards its southern flank.

Report by Ambassador Alexander Vershbow and Lauren Speranza

Defense Policy Europe & Eurasia

Wed, Oct 16, 2019

New risks to global financial stability

In “New Risks to Global Financial Stability” author Hung Tran, a nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Global Business & Economics program, assesses the global financial system weaknesses and outlines steps to promote financial stability.

In-Depth Research & Reports by Hung Tran

Economy & Business Financial Regulation
nuclear submarine and military members

Mon, Oct 14, 2019

The value of the US nuclear power complex to US national security

Based on conservative estimates of the value it provides due to human capital, dependability of the energy supply, vibrancy of the supply chain, and contributions to green power—the civilian nuclear energy industry contributes at least $42.4 billion annually to the pursuit of US national security priorities.

Issue Brief by Dr. Robert F. Ichord, Jr. and Bart Oosterveld

Economy & Business National Security

Thu, Oct 10, 2019

Iraqi-Russian Relations amidst US Security-Focused Engagement

This chapter is part of an edited volume that gathers analysis on the policy choices pursued by Washington and Moscow in the MENA region and develops case studies of the two powers’ policies in the countries beset by major crises Read the full report here.

Report by Abbas Kadhim

Iraq Russia

Thu, Oct 10, 2019

Same Ends but Different Means: Change, Continuity and Moscow’s Middle East Policy

This chapter is part of an edited volume that gathers analysis on the policy choices pursued by Washington and Moscow in the MENA region and develops case studies of the two powers’ policies in the countries beset by major crises Read the full report here.

Report by Mark N. Katz

Thu, Oct 10, 2019

US Withdrawal from the Middle East: Perceptions and Reality

This chapter is part of an edited volume that gathers analysis on the policy choices pursued by Washington and Moscow in the MENA region and develops case studies of the two powers’ policies in the countries beset by major crises Read the full report here.

Report by William F. Wechsler

Two men walking across a floodgate.

Tue, Oct 8, 2019

Belt and Road in Latin America: A regional game changer?

A pragmatic, proactive, and forward-thinking approach is key to ensuring that a massive and evolving Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) provides concrete benefits to Latin America and the Caribbean. In particular, countries in the region—and the United States—should take stock of four emerging BRI trends to stay ahead of the game.

Issue Brief by Pepe Zhang

China Energy & Environment